Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.322685 0.351819 0.382789 0.418229 0.457744 0.500543 0.550528
2025-12-28 0.278476 0.320167 0.367451 0.425352 0.494750 0.575762 0.678237
2026-01-04 0.251853 0.300006 0.357060 0.430261 0.522571 0.636298 0.788869
2026-01-11 0.231538 0.283625 0.347520 0.432641 0.544547 0.688749 0.892113
2026-01-18 0.215194 0.269873 0.338949 0.433987 0.563528 0.737188 0.993305
2026-01-25 0.202703 0.259550 0.333266 0.437672 0.584738 0.789211 1.103662
2026-02-01 0.187754 0.244598 0.319936 0.429277 0.587667 0.814903 1.177369
2026-02-08 0.178424 0.236370 0.314816 0.431433 0.605115 0.862247 1.287896
2026-02-15 0.168542 0.226597 0.306679 0.428301 0.614013 0.896916 1.381469
2026-02-22 0.161212 0.219845 0.302208 0.429927 0.629789 0.942992 1.498125
2026-03-01 0.152732 0.210877 0.293864 0.424934 0.634550 0.971476 1.587461
2026-03-08 0.144748 0.202140 0.285260 0.418792 0.636726 0.995480 1.670994
2026-03-15 0.135284 0.190822 0.272300 0.405182 0.626018 0.997425 1.715723
2026-03-22 0.131651 0.188030 0.272087 0.411803 0.649390 1.060072 1.882255
2026-03-29 0.127848 0.184733 0.270834 0.416526 0.669723 1.119007 2.049037
2026-04-05 0.123778 0.180781 0.268277 0.418814 0.685828 1.171525 2.209616
2026-04-12 0.119787 0.176732 0.265299 0.420108 0.700113 1.221768 2.372023
2026-04-19 0.116544 0.173684 0.263734 0.423649 0.718648 1.281765 2.563894
2026-04-26 0.111187 0.166993 0.255841 0.415580 0.714831 1.297120 2.657162
2026-05-03 0.108150 0.163912 0.253758 0.417653 0.730344 1.352840 2.852125
2026-05-10 0.104351 0.159407 0.249042 0.414642 0.735701 1.387923 3.002562
2026-05-17 0.101613 0.156526 0.246922 0.416205 0.750108 1.443414 3.211975
2026-05-24 0.097922 0.151894 0.241563 0.411405 0.751307 1.470283 3.352006